Overall sales should end up around 1.127m for a SAAR of 12.34m. This is compared to 873k or 12.2m SAAR last month. We are assuming fleet sales of 19% which is the same as last month.
Retail sales should be 912k for a retail SAAR of 10.1m. Unit sales are up from November's level of 710k, but most of this assumed. (November's retail SAAR was 10.0)
-This should put the sales total for the year at 11.5m.
-December's pacing has dropped slightly. I would have liked to see a SAAR of over 12.5--considering all the special events that are being promoted.
-The last three months have been in the same range. This suggest the recovery has reached a plateau.
There is a final note. Christmas Day is on a Saturday, meaning most dealerships will be closed. Not sure if this will slow down the sales space or not.
In any event, I hope you enjoy your Holidays.